Trader consensus has converged on a 35°C daily high for Taipei on August 11, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing peak readings at that threshold under persistent summer high pressure and strong solar heating. Model consensus indicates stable atmospheric conditions with minimal advection of cooler air, consistent with regional climatology where August maxima frequently reach the mid-30s when dew points remain elevated. The 100% market-implied probability captures this alignment of forecast guidance and station data, leaving narrow uncertainty bands. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome before final recording.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 11 de agosto?
35°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,223 Vol.
$53,223 Vol.
11 ago 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,223 Vol.
$53,223 Vol.
11 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,086 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,664 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,022 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,796 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,898 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,693 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,499 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$4,535 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,511 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,285 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$4,233 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 35°C daily high for Taipei on August 11, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing peak readings at that threshold under persistent summer high pressure and strong solar heating. Model consensus indicates stable atmospheric conditions with minimal advection of cooler air, consistent with regional climatology where August maxima frequently reach the mid-30s when dew points remain elevated. The 100% market-implied probability captures this alignment of forecast guidance and station data, leaving narrow uncertainty bands. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome before final recording.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$53,223Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 35°C daily high for Taipei on August 11, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing peak readings at that threshold under persistent summer high pressure and strong solar heating. Model consensus indicates stable atmospheric conditions with minimal advection of cooler air, consistent with regional climatology where August maxima frequently reach the mid-30s when dew points remain elevated. The 100% market-implied probability captures this alignment of forecast guidance and station data, leaving narrow uncertainty bands. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome before final recording.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$53,223Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 35°C daily high for Taipei on August 11, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration showing peak readings at that threshold under persistent summer high pressure and strong solar heating. Model consensus indicates stable atmospheric conditions with minimal advection of cooler air, consistent with regional climatology where August maxima frequently reach the mid-30s when dew points remain elevated. The 100% market-implied probability captures this alignment of forecast guidance and station data, leaving narrow uncertainty bands. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome before final recording.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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