Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers, including ECMWF runs, show Munich maximum temperatures on August 11 clustering around 30–33 °C under a ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies. This produces the tight market spread among 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes, with small differences arising from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–25 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects the specific synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution model output and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 11 de agosto?
31°C 38%
32°C 37%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
27°C o menos
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
28%
32°C
37%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C o más
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 37%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$12 Vol.
1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
5%
30°C
$32 Vol.
17%
31°C
$163 Vol.
28%
32°C
$6 Vol.
37%
33°C
$17 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$12 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C o más
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers, including ECMWF runs, show Munich maximum temperatures on August 11 clustering around 30–33 °C under a ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies. This produces the tight market spread among 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes, with small differences arising from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–25 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects the specific synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution model output and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$281Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers, including ECMWF runs, show Munich maximum temperatures on August 11 clustering around 30–33 °C under a ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies. This produces the tight market spread among 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes, with small differences arising from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–25 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects the specific synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution model output and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$281Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers, including ECMWF runs, show Munich maximum temperatures on August 11 clustering around 30–33 °C under a ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies. This produces the tight market spread among 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes, with small differences arising from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–25 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects the specific synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution model output and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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