Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the tight split between the leading 30 °C (32 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) contracts. Light south-westerly flow, modest high-cloud cover, and variable boundary-layer mixing limit full insolation and create the 1–2 °C ensemble spread typical of late-summer conditions. Small timing differences in afternoon clearing or convective development can shift the official peak by a degree, keeping probabilities balanced. Updated model runs and any observed changes in cloud timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window remain the key near-term variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 13 de agosto?
30°C 34%
31°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
15%
30°C
34%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
31°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$18 Vol.
15%
30°C
$118 Vol.
34%
31°C
$12 Vol.
34%
32°C
$143 Vol.
15%
33°C
$72 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$35 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the tight split between the leading 30 °C (32 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) contracts. Light south-westerly flow, modest high-cloud cover, and variable boundary-layer mixing limit full insolation and create the 1–2 °C ensemble spread typical of late-summer conditions. Small timing differences in afternoon clearing or convective development can shift the official peak by a degree, keeping probabilities balanced. Updated model runs and any observed changes in cloud timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$407Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the tight split between the leading 30 °C (32 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) contracts. Light south-westerly flow, modest high-cloud cover, and variable boundary-layer mixing limit full insolation and create the 1–2 °C ensemble spread typical of late-summer conditions. Small timing differences in afternoon clearing or convective development can shift the official peak by a degree, keeping probabilities balanced. Updated model runs and any observed changes in cloud timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$407Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) place Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the tight split between the leading 30 °C (32 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) contracts. Light south-westerly flow, modest high-cloud cover, and variable boundary-layer mixing limit full insolation and create the 1–2 °C ensemble spread typical of late-summer conditions. Small timing differences in afternoon clearing or convective development can shift the official peak by a degree, keeping probabilities balanced. Updated model runs and any observed changes in cloud timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window remain the key near-term variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes