Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius on August 13, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows average daily minima near 25°C, with high moisture content reducing the diurnal range and keeping the lowest readings close to 26–27°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently favors these values amid stable steering patterns and no major frontal systems, though small shifts in timing of showers or local urban heat retention could nudge the minimum by 1°C. With market-implied odds tightly split between 26°C and 27°C, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 13 de agosto?
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
36%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$17 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1 Vol.
5%
24°C
$58 Vol.
5%
25°C
$30 Vol.
16%
26°C
$66 Vol.
35%
27°C
$129 Vol.
36%
28°C
$60 Vol.
13%
29°C
$21 Vol.
4%
30°C
$30 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$248 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius on August 13, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows average daily minima near 25°C, with high moisture content reducing the diurnal range and keeping the lowest readings close to 26–27°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently favors these values amid stable steering patterns and no major frontal systems, though small shifts in timing of showers or local urban heat retention could nudge the minimum by 1°C. With market-implied odds tightly split between 26°C and 27°C, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$671Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius on August 13, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows average daily minima near 25°C, with high moisture content reducing the diurnal range and keeping the lowest readings close to 26–27°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently favors these values amid stable steering patterns and no major frontal systems, though small shifts in timing of showers or local urban heat retention could nudge the minimum by 1°C. With market-implied odds tightly split between 26°C and 27°C, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$671Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius on August 13, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows average daily minima near 25°C, with high moisture content reducing the diurnal range and keeping the lowest readings close to 26–27°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently favors these values amid stable steering patterns and no major frontal systems, though small shifts in timing of showers or local urban heat retention could nudge the minimum by 1°C. With market-implied odds tightly split between 26°C and 27°C, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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