Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yet trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum at 74% implied probability. This positioning reflects urban heat island effects in central London stations, where concrete and reduced radiative cooling often elevate recorded lows by 2–4°C above rural baselines, combined with stable high-pressure patterns limiting advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows minimal temperature drop after sunset, with current early-morning observations around 21°C supporting expectations that the daily low will settle near 19–20°C rather than dipping lower. Upcoming hourly updates from official networks will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de agosto?
20°C 75%
19°C 24%
18°C 2.0%
17°C <1%
$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
24%
20°C
75%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
20°C 75%
19°C 24%
18°C 2.0%
17°C <1%
$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$831 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,051 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,880 Vol.
24%
20°C
$3,246 Vol.
75%
21°C
$2,460 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yet trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum at 74% implied probability. This positioning reflects urban heat island effects in central London stations, where concrete and reduced radiative cooling often elevate recorded lows by 2–4°C above rural baselines, combined with stable high-pressure patterns limiting advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows minimal temperature drop after sunset, with current early-morning observations around 21°C supporting expectations that the daily low will settle near 19–20°C rather than dipping lower. Upcoming hourly updates from official networks will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$13,046Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yet trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum at 74% implied probability. This positioning reflects urban heat island effects in central London stations, where concrete and reduced radiative cooling often elevate recorded lows by 2–4°C above rural baselines, combined with stable high-pressure patterns limiting advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows minimal temperature drop after sunset, with current early-morning observations around 21°C supporting expectations that the daily low will settle near 19–20°C rather than dipping lower. Upcoming hourly updates from official networks will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,046Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate overnight lows near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yet trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum at 74% implied probability. This positioning reflects urban heat island effects in central London stations, where concrete and reduced radiative cooling often elevate recorded lows by 2–4°C above rural baselines, combined with stable high-pressure patterns limiting advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows minimal temperature drop after sunset, with current early-morning observations around 21°C supporting expectations that the daily low will settle near 19–20°C rather than dipping lower. Upcoming hourly updates from official networks will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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