Forecast consensus from the Met Office and BBC points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 under settled high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These patterns promote radiative cooling after daytime maxima near 26–28°C, though residual warmth from the early-August heatwave may limit deeper drops. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (26.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). Typical mid-August climatology features similar nighttime minima near 14–16°C when winds remain light and skies clear, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge readings higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine exact minimums ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de agosto?
17°C 41%
18°C 28%
16°C 25%
19°C 6%
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
41%
18°C
28%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
17°C 41%
18°C 28%
16°C 25%
19°C 6%
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
41%
18°C
28%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Met Office and BBC points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 under settled high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These patterns promote radiative cooling after daytime maxima near 26–28°C, though residual warmth from the early-August heatwave may limit deeper drops. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (26.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). Typical mid-August climatology features similar nighttime minima near 14–16°C when winds remain light and skies clear, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge readings higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine exact minimums ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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