Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 14 de agosto?
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
33%
27°C
30%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
21°C or below
$147 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
1%
23°C
$60 Vol.
2%
24°C
$160 Vol.
5%
25°C
$159 Vol.
16%
26°C
$209 Vol.
33%
27°C
$520 Vol.
30%
28°C
$285 Vol.
9%
29°C
$201 Vol.
3%
30°C
$107 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,164Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,164Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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