Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, driving the market's slight edge for the 33–34°C bins amid a broader 32–35°C cluster. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in peak heating from variables like boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects near Incheon, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C off the high. Recent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet the short 48-hour lead time and consensus on stable high-pressure steering keep extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the Incheon station's official resolution criteria against potential micro-adjustments in the final model runs before the 5 p.m. cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 13 de agosto?
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
37%
34°C
19%
35°C
11%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$49 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7 Vol.
5%
31°C
$45 Vol.
14%
32°C
$59 Vol.
27%
33°C
$24 Vol.
37%
34°C
$5 Vol.
19%
35°C
$19 Vol.
11%
36°C
$141 Vol.
4%
37°C
$17 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, driving the market's slight edge for the 33–34°C bins amid a broader 32–35°C cluster. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in peak heating from variables like boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects near Incheon, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C off the high. Recent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet the short 48-hour lead time and consensus on stable high-pressure steering keep extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the Incheon station's official resolution criteria against potential micro-adjustments in the final model runs before the 5 p.m. cutoff.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$395Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, driving the market's slight edge for the 33–34°C bins amid a broader 32–35°C cluster. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in peak heating from variables like boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects near Incheon, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C off the high. Recent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet the short 48-hour lead time and consensus on stable high-pressure steering keep extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the Incheon station's official resolution criteria against potential micro-adjustments in the final model runs before the 5 p.m. cutoff.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$395Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, driving the market's slight edge for the 33–34°C bins amid a broader 32–35°C cluster. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in peak heating from variables like boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects near Incheon, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C off the high. Recent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet the short 48-hour lead time and consensus on stable high-pressure steering keep extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the Incheon station's official resolution criteria against potential micro-adjustments in the final model runs before the 5 p.m. cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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