Recent monsoon patterns over southern Pakistan, including persistent cloud cover, sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and moderate humidity, are anchoring trader expectations for Karachi’s August 16 high near the seasonal mean of 32–33 °C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations through mid-August show daily maxima of 31–32.3 °C, while AccuWeather guidance for the month projects a narrow 31–34 °C envelope with limited intensification potential. These factors align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 32 °C (50.5 %) and 33 °C (31.5 %), reflecting the low likelihood of extreme departures absent a sudden monsoon break or clear-sky surge. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 16 de agosto?
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
30°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
30°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$232 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$567 Vol.
1%
30°C
$720 Vol.
3%
31°C
$863 Vol.
17%
32°C
$3,564 Vol.
50%
33°C
$2,218 Vol.
32%
34°C
$293 Vol.
1%
35°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon patterns over southern Pakistan, including persistent cloud cover, sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and moderate humidity, are anchoring trader expectations for Karachi’s August 16 high near the seasonal mean of 32–33 °C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations through mid-August show daily maxima of 31–32.3 °C, while AccuWeather guidance for the month projects a narrow 31–34 °C envelope with limited intensification potential. These factors align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 32 °C (50.5 %) and 33 °C (31.5 %), reflecting the low likelihood of extreme departures absent a sudden monsoon break or clear-sky surge. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$9,885Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon patterns over southern Pakistan, including persistent cloud cover, sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and moderate humidity, are anchoring trader expectations for Karachi’s August 16 high near the seasonal mean of 32–33 °C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations through mid-August show daily maxima of 31–32.3 °C, while AccuWeather guidance for the month projects a narrow 31–34 °C envelope with limited intensification potential. These factors align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 32 °C (50.5 %) and 33 °C (31.5 %), reflecting the low likelihood of extreme departures absent a sudden monsoon break or clear-sky surge. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,885Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon patterns over southern Pakistan, including persistent cloud cover, sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and moderate humidity, are anchoring trader expectations for Karachi’s August 16 high near the seasonal mean of 32–33 °C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations through mid-August show daily maxima of 31–32.3 °C, while AccuWeather guidance for the month projects a narrow 31–34 °C envelope with limited intensification potential. These factors align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 32 °C (50.5 %) and 33 °C (31.5 %), reflecting the low likelihood of extreme departures absent a sudden monsoon break or clear-sky surge. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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