Recent forecast runs from global models show Moscow's August 16 maximum temperature most likely reaching 24–25 °C, with the tight spread between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated daytime heating. Key drivers include a weak high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds, combined with boundary-layer moisture levels that limit extreme warming while allowing modest insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS exhibits low spread around these values, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and any late adjustments to cloud or advection forecasts remain the primary near-term variables that could shift final observed highs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 16 de agosto?
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
39%
25°C
33%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
$873 Vol.
1%
21°C
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$113 Vol.
3%
23°C
$435 Vol.
10%
24°C
$249 Vol.
39%
25°C
$754 Vol.
33%
26°C
$383 Vol.
15%
27°C
$114 Vol.
3%
28°C
$277 Vol.
1%
29°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from global models show Moscow's August 16 maximum temperature most likely reaching 24–25 °C, with the tight spread between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated daytime heating. Key drivers include a weak high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds, combined with boundary-layer moisture levels that limit extreme warming while allowing modest insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS exhibits low spread around these values, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and any late adjustments to cloud or advection forecasts remain the primary near-term variables that could shift final observed highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,144Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from global models show Moscow's August 16 maximum temperature most likely reaching 24–25 °C, with the tight spread between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated daytime heating. Key drivers include a weak high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds, combined with boundary-layer moisture levels that limit extreme warming while allowing modest insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS exhibits low spread around these values, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and any late adjustments to cloud or advection forecasts remain the primary near-term variables that could shift final observed highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,144Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from global models show Moscow's August 16 maximum temperature most likely reaching 24–25 °C, with the tight spread between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated daytime heating. Key drivers include a weak high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds, combined with boundary-layer moisture levels that limit extreme warming while allowing modest insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS exhibits low spread around these values, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and any late adjustments to cloud or advection forecasts remain the primary near-term variables that could shift final observed highs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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