Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Vol.
$74,584 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Vol.
$74,584 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$2,697 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,022 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,030 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,309 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,476 Vol.
Sí
27°C
$17,941 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,732 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,527 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,174 Vol.
No
31°C
$567 Vol.
No
32°C o más
$1,108 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$74,584Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$74,584Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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