Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 14 de agosto?
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
28°C o menos
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
19%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$689 Vol.
1%
29°C
$190 Vol.
2%
30°C
$168 Vol.
4%
31°C
$236 Vol.
7%
32°C
$35 Vol.
19%
33°C
$38 Vol.
32%
34°C
$34 Vol.
28%
35°C
$51 Vol.
9%
36°C
$110 Vol.
1%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,579Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,579Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes