Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima of 35–37°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the region's summer monsoon transition, with the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models introduce modest uncertainty around convective cloud development or slight steering shifts that could cap the high at 36°C or push it to 39°C, while climatological August baselines average near 34°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs plus satellite moisture data expected within 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 17 de agosto?
38°C 33%
37°C 32%
36°C 12%
39°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C
32%
38°C
33%
39°C
12%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
37°C 32%
36°C 12%
39°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
33°C or below
$303 Vol.
1%
34°C
$17 Vol.
3%
35°C
$12 Vol.
6%
36°C
$401 Vol.
12%
37°C
$821 Vol.
32%
38°C
$341 Vol.
33%
39°C
$147 Vol.
12%
40°C
$55 Vol.
5%
41°C
$90 Vol.
2%
42°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima of 35–37°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the region's summer monsoon transition, with the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models introduce modest uncertainty around convective cloud development or slight steering shifts that could cap the high at 36°C or push it to 39°C, while climatological August baselines average near 34°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs plus satellite moisture data expected within 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volumen
$2,446Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima of 35–37°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the region's summer monsoon transition, with the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models introduce modest uncertainty around convective cloud development or slight steering shifts that could cap the high at 36°C or push it to 39°C, while climatological August baselines average near 34°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs plus satellite moisture data expected within 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,446Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima of 35–37°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the region's summer monsoon transition, with the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models introduce modest uncertainty around convective cloud development or slight steering shifts that could cap the high at 36°C or push it to 39°C, while climatological August baselines average near 34°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs plus satellite moisture data expected within 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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