Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak daytime temperature of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 16, driven by partial clearing after earlier monsoon moisture, moderate northerly flow, and sufficient insolation under broken cloud cover. This consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind, reflecting model agreement on modest warming potential absent stronger anticyclonic subsidence. Historical August climatology shows frequent exceedance of 35°C under drier conditions, yet current convective patterns and humidity levels are capping extremes near the observed range. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 16 de agosto?
33°C 39%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
39%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18 Vol.
3%
31°C
$223 Vol.
6%
32°C
$27 Vol.
22%
33°C
$863 Vol.
39%
34°C
$301 Vol.
26%
35°C
$47 Vol.
5%
36°C
$347 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$208 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak daytime temperature of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 16, driven by partial clearing after earlier monsoon moisture, moderate northerly flow, and sufficient insolation under broken cloud cover. This consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind, reflecting model agreement on modest warming potential absent stronger anticyclonic subsidence. Historical August climatology shows frequent exceedance of 35°C under drier conditions, yet current convective patterns and humidity levels are capping extremes near the observed range. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$2,365Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak daytime temperature of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 16, driven by partial clearing after earlier monsoon moisture, moderate northerly flow, and sufficient insolation under broken cloud cover. This consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind, reflecting model agreement on modest warming potential absent stronger anticyclonic subsidence. Historical August climatology shows frequent exceedance of 35°C under drier conditions, yet current convective patterns and humidity levels are capping extremes near the observed range. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,365Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak daytime temperature of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 16, driven by partial clearing after earlier monsoon moisture, moderate northerly flow, and sufficient insolation under broken cloud cover. This consensus positions 33°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind, reflecting model agreement on modest warming potential absent stronger anticyclonic subsidence. Historical August climatology shows frequent exceedance of 35°C under drier conditions, yet current convective patterns and humidity levels are capping extremes near the observed range. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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