Current short-range forecasts from global models position a daily maximum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Istanbul on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and limited daytime heating under partly sunny skies. Historical August averages place highs around 27–29°C, yet recent ensemble guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow from the northwest, keeping peaks below 28°C with minimal risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning over 85% probability to 26°C or 27°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 17 de agosto?
26°C 53%
27°C 31%
25°C 9%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
53%
27°C
31%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
6%
26°C 53%
27°C 31%
25°C 9%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
21°C or below
$214 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$44 Vol.
1%
23°C
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$45 Vol.
3%
25°C
$24 Vol.
9%
26°C
$160 Vol.
53%
27°C
$142 Vol.
31%
28°C
$114 Vol.
8%
29°C
$108 Vol.
8%
30°C
$295 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from global models position a daily maximum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Istanbul on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and limited daytime heating under partly sunny skies. Historical August averages place highs around 27–29°C, yet recent ensemble guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow from the northwest, keeping peaks below 28°C with minimal risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning over 85% probability to 26°C or 27°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$1,198Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from global models position a daily maximum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Istanbul on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and limited daytime heating under partly sunny skies. Historical August averages place highs around 27–29°C, yet recent ensemble guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow from the northwest, keeping peaks below 28°C with minimal risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning over 85% probability to 26°C or 27°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,198Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from global models position a daily maximum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Istanbul on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and limited daytime heating under partly sunny skies. Historical August averages place highs around 27–29°C, yet recent ensemble guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow from the northwest, keeping peaks below 28°C with minimal risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning over 85% probability to 26°C or 27°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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