Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 83°F at Central Park on August 15, driving the close market split between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. A building Bermuda high is promoting southerly flow that advects warm, moist air northward while limiting strong mixing, with daytime highs supported by mostly broken cloud cover and light winds that enhance the urban heat island effect. Minor uncertainties stem from possible sea-breeze moderation or scattered afternoon convection that could cap readings a degree or two lower, or clearer skies allowing a brief push into the mid-80s. Updated model runs and official observations released throughout the day will provide the final resolution data for this narrow temperature window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NUEVO
$11,876 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,876 Vol.
15 ago 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NUEVO
$11,876 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,876 Vol.
15 ago 2026
75°F or below
$575 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,083 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,032 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,413 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$1,946 Vol.
47%
84-85°F
$1,955 Vol.
38%
86-87°F
$960 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$1,426 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$301 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 83°F at Central Park on August 15, driving the close market split between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. A building Bermuda high is promoting southerly flow that advects warm, moist air northward while limiting strong mixing, with daytime highs supported by mostly broken cloud cover and light winds that enhance the urban heat island effect. Minor uncertainties stem from possible sea-breeze moderation or scattered afternoon convection that could cap readings a degree or two lower, or clearer skies allowing a brief push into the mid-80s. Updated model runs and official observations released throughout the day will provide the final resolution data for this narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$11,876Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 83°F at Central Park on August 15, driving the close market split between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. A building Bermuda high is promoting southerly flow that advects warm, moist air northward while limiting strong mixing, with daytime highs supported by mostly broken cloud cover and light winds that enhance the urban heat island effect. Minor uncertainties stem from possible sea-breeze moderation or scattered afternoon convection that could cap readings a degree or two lower, or clearer skies allowing a brief push into the mid-80s. Updated model runs and official observations released throughout the day will provide the final resolution data for this narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,876Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 83°F at Central Park on August 15, driving the close market split between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. A building Bermuda high is promoting southerly flow that advects warm, moist air northward while limiting strong mixing, with daytime highs supported by mostly broken cloud cover and light winds that enhance the urban heat island effect. Minor uncertainties stem from possible sea-breeze moderation or scattered afternoon convection that could cap readings a degree or two lower, or clearer skies allowing a brief push into the mid-80s. Updated model runs and official observations released throughout the day will provide the final resolution data for this narrow temperature window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes