Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 17 de agosto?
36°C 29%
35°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
29°C o menos
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
27%
36°C
29%
37°C
11%
38°C
3%
39°C o más
1%
36°C 29%
35°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$1 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1 Vol.
1%
32°C
$49 Vol.
5%
33°C
$89 Vol.
11%
34°C
$76 Vol.
19%
35°C
$16 Vol.
27%
36°C
$13 Vol.
29%
37°C
$181 Vol.
11%
38°C
$11 Vol.
3%
39°C o más
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volumen
$474Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$474Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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