Recent forecast models for Manila show significant day-to-day variability ahead of August 18, driving the dispersed market odds with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 34%. The southwest monsoon season typically brings scattered convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime highs, while steering patterns, wind shear, and any passing tropical waves determine rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August maxima near 31°C provide context, yet recent observations confirm frequent suppression below seasonal norms when precipitation arrives earlier in the day. Traders are weighing PAGASA and global ensemble guidance, with fresh model runs expected to clarify land-sea breeze effects and moisture levels before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de agosto?
28°C 35%
29°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
26%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C o más
7%
28°C 35%
29°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C o más
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Manila show significant day-to-day variability ahead of August 18, driving the dispersed market odds with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 34%. The southwest monsoon season typically brings scattered convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime highs, while steering patterns, wind shear, and any passing tropical waves determine rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August maxima near 31°C provide context, yet recent observations confirm frequent suppression below seasonal norms when precipitation arrives earlier in the day. Traders are weighing PAGASA and global ensemble guidance, with fresh model runs expected to clarify land-sea breeze effects and moisture levels before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$27Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Manila show significant day-to-day variability ahead of August 18, driving the dispersed market odds with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 34%. The southwest monsoon season typically brings scattered convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime highs, while steering patterns, wind shear, and any passing tropical waves determine rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August maxima near 31°C provide context, yet recent observations confirm frequent suppression below seasonal norms when precipitation arrives earlier in the day. Traders are weighing PAGASA and global ensemble guidance, with fresh model runs expected to clarify land-sea breeze effects and moisture levels before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$27Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Manila show significant day-to-day variability ahead of August 18, driving the dispersed market odds with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 34%. The southwest monsoon season typically brings scattered convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime highs, while steering patterns, wind shear, and any passing tropical waves determine rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August maxima near 31°C provide context, yet recent observations confirm frequent suppression below seasonal norms when precipitation arrives earlier in the day. Traders are weighing PAGASA and global ensemble guidance, with fresh model runs expected to clarify land-sea breeze effects and moisture levels before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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