Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance position the daily maximum temperature in Mexico City near 26°C for August 17 amid the ongoing rainy season at 2,240 meters elevation. Scattered afternoon showers and variable cloud cover are limiting peak insolation, with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C) and timeanddate.com (25°C) reflecting minor divergences in storm timing that keep 25–27°C as the tightest cluster of outcomes. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide a baseline, while recent model runs show limited warming potential under typical steering patterns. Updated forecast briefings and observational data ahead of the resolution window remain the key near-term drivers of trader consensus on these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 17 de agosto?
26°C 50%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 6%
21°C o menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
22%
26°C
50%
27°C
21%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 6%
21°C o menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
22%
26°C
50%
27°C
21%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance position the daily maximum temperature in Mexico City near 26°C for August 17 amid the ongoing rainy season at 2,240 meters elevation. Scattered afternoon showers and variable cloud cover are limiting peak insolation, with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C) and timeanddate.com (25°C) reflecting minor divergences in storm timing that keep 25–27°C as the tightest cluster of outcomes. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide a baseline, while recent model runs show limited warming potential under typical steering patterns. Updated forecast briefings and observational data ahead of the resolution window remain the key near-term drivers of trader consensus on these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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