Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high near 31°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by the positioning of the subtropical high and expected cloud cover with isolated thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Typical August conditions feature highs of 31–35°C amid high humidity above 75%, but recent model runs suggest slightly moderated readings from increased moisture and variable steering flows. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-August under similar large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop differently than projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
30%
31°C
44%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41 Vol.
1%
28°C
$380 Vol.
3%
29°C
$411 Vol.
10%
30°C
$460 Vol.
30%
31°C
$429 Vol.
44%
32°C
$965 Vol.
14%
33°C
$104 Vol.
2%
34°C
$589 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high near 31°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by the positioning of the subtropical high and expected cloud cover with isolated thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Typical August conditions feature highs of 31–35°C amid high humidity above 75%, but recent model runs suggest slightly moderated readings from increased moisture and variable steering flows. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-August under similar large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$3,983Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high near 31°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by the positioning of the subtropical high and expected cloud cover with isolated thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Typical August conditions feature highs of 31–35°C amid high humidity above 75%, but recent model runs suggest slightly moderated readings from increased moisture and variable steering flows. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-August under similar large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,983Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high near 31°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by the positioning of the subtropical high and expected cloud cover with isolated thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Typical August conditions feature highs of 31–35°C amid high humidity above 75%, but recent model runs suggest slightly moderated readings from increased moisture and variable steering flows. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-August under similar large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop differently than projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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