Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 16 will most likely settle between 25–27°C, as persistent southerly monsoon flow and scattered thundershowers promote cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology for the city shows average lows near 25–26°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest warming from an intensifying El Niño episode that favors above-normal regional temperatures. Key uncertainties stem from variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, which could shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates ahead of the 48-hour forecast window for any adjustments to these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de agosto?
26°C 43%
25°C 39%
27°C 12%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
6%
25°C
39%
26°C
43%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 39%
27°C 12%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$32 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$41 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,386 Vol.
39%
26°C
$30 Vol.
43%
27°C
$16 Vol.
12%
28°C
$28 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 16 will most likely settle between 25–27°C, as persistent southerly monsoon flow and scattered thundershowers promote cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology for the city shows average lows near 25–26°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest warming from an intensifying El Niño episode that favors above-normal regional temperatures. Key uncertainties stem from variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, which could shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates ahead of the 48-hour forecast window for any adjustments to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$1,645Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 16 will most likely settle between 25–27°C, as persistent southerly monsoon flow and scattered thundershowers promote cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology for the city shows average lows near 25–26°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest warming from an intensifying El Niño episode that favors above-normal regional temperatures. Key uncertainties stem from variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, which could shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates ahead of the 48-hour forecast window for any adjustments to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,645Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 16 will most likely settle between 25–27°C, as persistent southerly monsoon flow and scattered thundershowers promote cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology for the city shows average lows near 25–26°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest warming from an intensifying El Niño episode that favors above-normal regional temperatures. Key uncertainties stem from variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, which could shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates ahead of the 48-hour forecast window for any adjustments to these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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