Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure moderating the seasonal Pacific ridge while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects sustain baseline warmth, yet variable steering patterns and potential sea-breeze convergence introduce uncertainty in peak readings. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by late-summer instability, keeping 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest model runs against the narrow margin between partial clearing and convective cooling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 14 de agosto?
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$93 Vol.
1%
25°C
$541 Vol.
2%
26°C
$55 Vol.
7%
27°C
$145 Vol.
18%
28°C
$2,587 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,074 Vol.
32%
30°C
$51 Vol.
8%
31°C
$43 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure moderating the seasonal Pacific ridge while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects sustain baseline warmth, yet variable steering patterns and potential sea-breeze convergence introduce uncertainty in peak readings. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by late-summer instability, keeping 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest model runs against the narrow margin between partial clearing and convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,356Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure moderating the seasonal Pacific ridge while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects sustain baseline warmth, yet variable steering patterns and potential sea-breeze convergence introduce uncertainty in peak readings. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by late-summer instability, keeping 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest model runs against the narrow margin between partial clearing and convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,356Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure moderating the seasonal Pacific ridge while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects sustain baseline warmth, yet variable steering patterns and potential sea-breeze convergence introduce uncertainty in peak readings. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by late-summer instability, keeping 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest model runs against the narrow margin between partial clearing and convective cooling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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