Latest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17, driven by a moderating high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow after the mid-August heatwave peaked near 38°C. Consensus across runs places the most likely range at 28–29°C, with limited potential for 30°C or higher under current steering patterns and modest cloud cover. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (54.5%) and 28°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical 24 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de agosto?
29°C 63%
28°C 27%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$11,454 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,454 Vol.
17 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
63%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 63%
28°C 27%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$11,454 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,454 Vol.
17 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$467 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,187 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,709 Vol.
27%
29°C
$3,210 Vol.
63%
30°C
$921 Vol.
7%
31°C
$699 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$813 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17, driven by a moderating high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow after the mid-August heatwave peaked near 38°C. Consensus across runs places the most likely range at 28–29°C, with limited potential for 30°C or higher under current steering patterns and modest cloud cover. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (54.5%) and 28°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volumen
$11,454Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17, driven by a moderating high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow after the mid-August heatwave peaked near 38°C. Consensus across runs places the most likely range at 28–29°C, with limited potential for 30°C or higher under current steering patterns and modest cloud cover. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (54.5%) and 28°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,454Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17, driven by a moderating high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow after the mid-August heatwave peaked near 38°C. Consensus across runs places the most likely range at 28–29°C, with limited potential for 30°C or higher under current steering patterns and modest cloud cover. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (54.5%) and 28°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical 24 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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