Latest Met Office guidance projects a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 10 under continued high pressure and a mild southerly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster overnight lows between 16–19°C, with the tightest probabilities favoring 18–19°C because recent runs show slightly reduced cloud cover and lighter winds than earlier guidance. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 14°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by a persistent ridge—keeps colder outcomes below 17°C at low implied odds. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 10 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 10 de agosto?
19°C 52%
18°C 36%
17°C 10%
20°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
36%
19°C
52%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 36%
17°C 10%
20°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
13°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$576 Vol.
1%
16°C
$223 Vol.
4%
17°C
$255 Vol.
10%
18°C
$3,372 Vol.
36%
19°C
$640 Vol.
52%
20°C
$318 Vol.
5%
21°C
$210 Vol.
1%
22°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 10 under continued high pressure and a mild southerly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster overnight lows between 16–19°C, with the tightest probabilities favoring 18–19°C because recent runs show slightly reduced cloud cover and lighter winds than earlier guidance. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 14°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by a persistent ridge—keeps colder outcomes below 17°C at low implied odds. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,571Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 10 under continued high pressure and a mild southerly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster overnight lows between 16–19°C, with the tightest probabilities favoring 18–19°C because recent runs show slightly reduced cloud cover and lighter winds than earlier guidance. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 14°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by a persistent ridge—keeps colder outcomes below 17°C at low implied odds. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,571Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance projects a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 10 under continued high pressure and a mild southerly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster overnight lows between 16–19°C, with the tightest probabilities favoring 18–19°C because recent runs show slightly reduced cloud cover and lighter winds than earlier guidance. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 14°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by a persistent ridge—keeps colder outcomes below 17°C at low implied odds. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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