Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate cooling after an early-August heat surge, with a high-pressure ridge shifting and allowing milder Atlantic air to moderate temperatures over Paris. This positions the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (26.0%), consistent with guidance showing daytime maxima settling near 25–27°C on August 7 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 24–26°C, supports these probabilities while acknowledging model spread that could allow brief warming or localized cooling. Traders weigh the rapid synoptic transition and upcoming model runs as key variables ahead of official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 7 de agosto?
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
44%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
23°C or below
$425 Vol.
1%
24°C
$60 Vol.
1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
5%
26°C
$50 Vol.
19%
27°C
$588 Vol.
44%
28°C
$170 Vol.
26%
29°C
$85 Vol.
5%
30°C
$31 Vol.
2%
31°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate cooling after an early-August heat surge, with a high-pressure ridge shifting and allowing milder Atlantic air to moderate temperatures over Paris. This positions the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (26.0%), consistent with guidance showing daytime maxima settling near 25–27°C on August 7 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 24–26°C, supports these probabilities while acknowledging model spread that could allow brief warming or localized cooling. Traders weigh the rapid synoptic transition and upcoming model runs as key variables ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,695Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate cooling after an early-August heat surge, with a high-pressure ridge shifting and allowing milder Atlantic air to moderate temperatures over Paris. This positions the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (26.0%), consistent with guidance showing daytime maxima settling near 25–27°C on August 7 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 24–26°C, supports these probabilities while acknowledging model spread that could allow brief warming or localized cooling. Traders weigh the rapid synoptic transition and upcoming model runs as key variables ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,695Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate cooling after an early-August heat surge, with a high-pressure ridge shifting and allowing milder Atlantic air to moderate temperatures over Paris. This positions the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (26.0%), consistent with guidance showing daytime maxima settling near 25–27°C on August 7 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 24–26°C, supports these probabilities while acknowledging model spread that could allow brief warming or localized cooling. Traders weigh the rapid synoptic transition and upcoming model runs as key variables ahead of official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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