Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market centers on the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 78°F amid increasing clouds and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating while lake-effect moderation from Lake Michigan and southeasterly flow keep readings from climbing toward the seasonal normal of about 83°F. Model guidance shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minor differences in timing of any convection or cloud thickness creating the close split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated short-term model runs and surface observations through midday will likely determine the final range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 5 de agosto?
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
NUEVO
$21,606 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,606 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F o menos
1%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
NUEVO
$21,606 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,606 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$6,490 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,323 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$1,772 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$2,236 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$1,386 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$3,481 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$1,488 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$888 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$547 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$514 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market centers on the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 78°F amid increasing clouds and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating while lake-effect moderation from Lake Michigan and southeasterly flow keep readings from climbing toward the seasonal normal of about 83°F. Model guidance shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minor differences in timing of any convection or cloud thickness creating the close split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated short-term model runs and surface observations through midday will likely determine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$21,606Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market centers on the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 78°F amid increasing clouds and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating while lake-effect moderation from Lake Michigan and southeasterly flow keep readings from climbing toward the seasonal normal of about 83°F. Model guidance shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minor differences in timing of any convection or cloud thickness creating the close split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated short-term model runs and surface observations through midday will likely determine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,606Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market centers on the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for a high near 78°F amid increasing clouds and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating while lake-effect moderation from Lake Michigan and southeasterly flow keep readings from climbing toward the seasonal normal of about 83°F. Model guidance shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minor differences in timing of any convection or cloud thickness creating the close split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated short-term model runs and surface observations through midday will likely determine the final range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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