Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 15 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 15 de julio?
39°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$117,240 Vol.
$117,240 Vol.
15 jul 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$117,240 Vol.
$117,240 Vol.
15 jul 2026
32°C or below
$6,221 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,764 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,229 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,669 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,940 Vol.
No
37°C
$19,520 Vol.
No
38°C
$17,088 Vol.
No
39°C
$22,587 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$17,064 Vol.
No
41°C
$3,915 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$3,243 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$117,240Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$117,240Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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