Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 26 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 26 de julio?
26°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,658 Vol.
$16,658 Vol.
26 jul 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,658 Vol.
$16,658 Vol.
26 jul 2026
20°C o menos
$547 Vol.
No
21°C
$478 Vol.
No
22°C
$647 Vol.
No
23°C
$696 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,796 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,724 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,774 Vol.
Sí
27°C
$1,872 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,290 Vol.
No
29°C
$421 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$413 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$16,658Fecha de finalización
26 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,658Fecha de finalización
26 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes