Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 12 de julio?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,580 Vol.
$25,580 Vol.
12 jul 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,580 Vol.
$25,580 Vol.
12 jul 2026
27°C or below
$853 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,669 Vol.
No
29°C
$513 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,265 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,004 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$4,421 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,841 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,487 Vol.
No
35°C
$726 Vol.
No
36°C
$542 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$259 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$25,580Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,580Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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