Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 25?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 25?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,680 Vol.
$47,680 Vol.
25 may 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,680 Vol.
$47,680 Vol.
25 may 2026
19°C or below
$2,153 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,231 Vol.
No
21°C
$695 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,036 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,663 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,355 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,422 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,306 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,964 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,037 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,819 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$47,680Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$47,680Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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