Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 3 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 3 de julio?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,482 Vol.
$102,482 Vol.
3 jul 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,482 Vol.
$102,482 Vol.
3 jul 2026
21°C or below
$3,880 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,299 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,842 Vol.
No
24°C
$16,793 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,605 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,994 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$9,075 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,245 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,837 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,268 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$3,643 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$102,482Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$102,482Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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