Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 Vol.
$186,992 Vol.
3 may 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 Vol.
$186,992 Vol.
3 may 2026
16°C or below
$3,711 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,979 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,813 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,945 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,176 Vol.
No
21°C
$15,303 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,793 Vol.
No
23°C
$34,741 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$47,959 Vol.
No
25°C
$26,759 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$25,813 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$186,992Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$186,992Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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