Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 3 de agosto?
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 22%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
22%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
1%
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 22%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$207 Vol.
1%
22°C
$141 Vol.
1%
23°C
$105 Vol.
2%
24°C
$93 Vol.
7%
25°C
$511 Vol.
26%
26°C
$1,434 Vol.
37%
27°C
$129 Vol.
22%
28°C
$100 Vol.
9%
29°C
$105 Vol.
4%
30°C
$117 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$154 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$3,094Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,094Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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