Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 3 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 3 de junio?
23°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.
3 jun 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sí
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
23°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.
3 jun 2026
20°C o menos
$4,121 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,329 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,110 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,915 Vol.
Sí
24°C
$7,815 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,160 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,374 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,099 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,205 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,180 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$401 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$66,709Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66,709Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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