Morgan Stanley’s 76% implied probability in the Polymarket market reflects recent reporting that positions the bank for the coveted “lead-left” role on Anthropic’s planned Nasdaq IPO, following its June 2026 selection alongside Goldman Sachs as joint bookrunners and its leadership of a $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility. Goldman Sachs, at 14.3%, is viewed as the likely stabilization agent with strong historical tech-mandate share, while JPMorgan and other banks trail at 0.1% amid expectations of supporting but secondary roles. Trader consensus incorporates Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing, revenue trajectory toward $50 billion annualized, and the competitive race with OpenAI, though final designation awaits official disclosures or the prospectus expected later this quarter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 76%
Goldman Sachs 14.3%
Bank of America <1%
JPMorgan <1%
$67,407 Vol.
$67,407 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
76%
Goldman Sachs
14%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 76%
Goldman Sachs 14.3%
Bank of America <1%
JPMorgan <1%
$67,407 Vol.
$67,407 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
76%
Goldman Sachs
14%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 76% implied probability in the Polymarket market reflects recent reporting that positions the bank for the coveted “lead-left” role on Anthropic’s planned Nasdaq IPO, following its June 2026 selection alongside Goldman Sachs as joint bookrunners and its leadership of a $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility. Goldman Sachs, at 14.3%, is viewed as the likely stabilization agent with strong historical tech-mandate share, while JPMorgan and other banks trail at 0.1% amid expectations of supporting but secondary roles. Trader consensus incorporates Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing, revenue trajectory toward $50 billion annualized, and the competitive race with OpenAI, though final designation awaits official disclosures or the prospectus expected later this quarter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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