Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 Vol.
$20,366 Vol.
28 may 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 Vol.
$20,366 Vol.
28 may 2026
53°F or below
$4,900 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$698 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$663 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,023 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,064 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,372 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$2,461 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,194 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,407 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$651 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$2,932 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$20,366Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,366Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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