Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 23 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 23 de julio?
14°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,405 Vol.
$22,405 Vol.
23 jul 2026
11°C o menos
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C o más
No
14°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,405 Vol.
$22,405 Vol.
23 jul 2026
11°C o menos
$869 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,199 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,122 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,524 Vol.
Sí
15°C
$4,987 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,152 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,239 Vol.
No
18°C
$373 Vol.
No
19°C
$220 Vol.
No
20°C
$292 Vol.
No
21°C o más
$430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$22,405Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,405Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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