Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a morning low of 16°C in Seoul on June 5, aligning with early June climatology where overnight minima typically range 15–19°C under moderating spring-to-summer transitions. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable pressure patterns and limited frontal activity, support this precise outcome with high model consensus and minimal expected variance. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified observational data and short-range model runs showing little room for deviation. A sudden unforecast cold surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded low, though such shifts remain improbable within the final hours of the observation window ending at 9 AM.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$35,390 Vol.
$35,390 Vol.
5 jun 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$35,390 Vol.
$35,390 Vol.
5 jun 2026
12°C or below
$1,955 Vol.
No
13°C
$821 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,054 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,047 Vol.
No
16°C
$13,385 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$4,782 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,174 Vol.
No
19°C
$980 Vol.
No
20°C
$446 Vol.
No
21°C
$206 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,539 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a morning low of 16°C in Seoul on June 5, aligning with early June climatology where overnight minima typically range 15–19°C under moderating spring-to-summer transitions. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable pressure patterns and limited frontal activity, support this precise outcome with high model consensus and minimal expected variance. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified observational data and short-range model runs showing little room for deviation. A sudden unforecast cold surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded low, though such shifts remain improbable within the final hours of the observation window ending at 9 AM.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$35,390Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a morning low of 16°C in Seoul on June 5, aligning with early June climatology where overnight minima typically range 15–19°C under moderating spring-to-summer transitions. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable pressure patterns and limited frontal activity, support this precise outcome with high model consensus and minimal expected variance. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified observational data and short-range model runs showing little room for deviation. A sudden unforecast cold surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded low, though such shifts remain improbable within the final hours of the observation window ending at 9 AM.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35,390Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a morning low of 16°C in Seoul on June 5, aligning with early June climatology where overnight minima typically range 15–19°C under moderating spring-to-summer transitions. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable pressure patterns and limited frontal activity, support this precise outcome with high model consensus and minimal expected variance. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified observational data and short-range model runs showing little room for deviation. A sudden unforecast cold surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded low, though such shifts remain improbable within the final hours of the observation window ending at 9 AM.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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