Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 23 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 23 de junio?
22°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23 jun 2026
17°C o menos
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sí
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o más
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$372 Vol.
No
18°C
$746 Vol.
No
19°C
$774 Vol.
No
20°C
$969 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,554 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,036 Vol.
Sí
23°C
$7,019 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,771 Vol.
No
25°C
$579 Vol.
No
26°C
$715 Vol.
No
27°C o más
$353 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$26,890Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,890Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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