Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de mayo?
18°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 Vol.
$38,680 Vol.
25 may 2026
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 Vol.
$38,680 Vol.
25 may 2026
14°C o menos
$1,717 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,503 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,599 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,623 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,469 Vol.
Sí
19°C
$11,152 Vol.
No
20°C
$847 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,568 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,501 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,773 Vol.
No
24°C o más
$6,928 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$38,680Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$38,680Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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