Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 35-38 million range at 44.9% implied probability for "Michael's" third domestic weekend, reflecting the Michael Jackson biopic's impressive word-of-mouth legs despite a 39% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening and a sturdy 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame—dethroned by "The Devil Wears Prada 2"—the Jaafar Jackson-led film has amassed $195 million domestically through Thursday, buoyed by stellar audience metrics including a 97% verified audience score, A- CinemaScore, and 90% PostTrak. Recent global milestones surpassing $440 million underscore fan-driven momentum, but competition from holdovers and new releases caps upside above 38 million at just 7.1%, with tracking suggesting a 30-40% decline from week two. Watch Friday previews and early weekend estimates for potential shifts ahead of the May 8-10 frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla de fin de semana "Michael"
Taquilla de fin de semana "Michael"
35-38 millones 44.9%
32-35 millones 28%
<32 millones 22%
>38 millones 7.1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
<32 millones
22%
32-35 millones
28%
35-38 millones
45%
>38 millones
7%
35-38 millones 44.9%
32-35 millones 28%
<32 millones 22%
>38 millones 7.1%
$30,270 Vol.
$30,270 Vol.
<32 millones
22%
32-35 millones
28%
35-38 millones
45%
>38 millones
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 35-38 million range at 44.9% implied probability for "Michael's" third domestic weekend, reflecting the Michael Jackson biopic's impressive word-of-mouth legs despite a 39% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening and a sturdy 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame—dethroned by "The Devil Wears Prada 2"—the Jaafar Jackson-led film has amassed $195 million domestically through Thursday, buoyed by stellar audience metrics including a 97% verified audience score, A- CinemaScore, and 90% PostTrak. Recent global milestones surpassing $440 million underscore fan-driven momentum, but competition from holdovers and new releases caps upside above 38 million at just 7.1%, with tracking suggesting a 30-40% decline from week two. Watch Friday previews and early weekend estimates for potential shifts ahead of the May 8-10 frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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