Microsoft's current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects robust Intelligent Cloud growth, with Azure revenue expanding over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters driven by AI demand, alongside Microsoft Cloud revenue rising 27% or more. Elevated capital expenditures for AI infrastructure continue to pressure gross margins, creating uncertainty about sustained profitability gains through year-end. Analyst price targets cluster around $560, implying potential upside, yet risks from regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures in cloud services contribute to balanced trader sentiment across market-cap ranges. The even 50% odds across bins underscore how upcoming earnings and macroeconomic data releases could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$2.50T
-
$2.50-$3.00T
-
$3.00-$3.50T
-
$3.50-$4.00T
-
$4.00-$4.50T
-
$4.50-$5.00T
-
$5.00T+
-
<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$2.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$2.50-$3.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$3.00-$3.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$5.00T+
$0 Vol.
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft's current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects robust Intelligent Cloud growth, with Azure revenue expanding over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters driven by AI demand, alongside Microsoft Cloud revenue rising 27% or more. Elevated capital expenditures for AI infrastructure continue to pressure gross margins, creating uncertainty about sustained profitability gains through year-end. Analyst price targets cluster around $560, implying potential upside, yet risks from regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures in cloud services contribute to balanced trader sentiment across market-cap ranges. The even 50% odds across bins underscore how upcoming earnings and macroeconomic data releases could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft's current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects robust Intelligent Cloud growth, with Azure revenue expanding over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters driven by AI demand, alongside Microsoft Cloud revenue rising 27% or more. Elevated capital expenditures for AI infrastructure continue to pressure gross margins, creating uncertainty about sustained profitability gains through year-end. Analyst price targets cluster around $560, implying potential upside, yet risks from regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures in cloud services contribute to balanced trader sentiment across market-cap ranges. The even 50% odds across bins underscore how upcoming earnings and macroeconomic data releases could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft's current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects robust Intelligent Cloud growth, with Azure revenue expanding over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters driven by AI demand, alongside Microsoft Cloud revenue rising 27% or more. Elevated capital expenditures for AI infrastructure continue to pressure gross margins, creating uncertainty about sustained profitability gains through year-end. Analyst price targets cluster around $560, implying potential upside, yet risks from regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures in cloud services contribute to balanced trader sentiment across market-cap ranges. The even 50% odds across bins underscore how upcoming earnings and macroeconomic data releases could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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