Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$24,861Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,861Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes