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¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?

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¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?

27% chance
Polymarket
NEW

27% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$232
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$232
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Nueva orden ejecutiva de Trump para restringir la votación antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.