Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas that unsealed superseding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, pleaded not guilty and face a June 2027 trial date set after pretrial hearings in July 2026, with no bail requests filed. Venezuelan authorities under acting president Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his release through diplomatic channels and UN statements, while recent August 2026 developments include Maduro issuing statements from detention endorsing opposition negotiations and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on political prisoners and sanctions. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanisms hinge on these legal timelines, diplomatic pressure, and any shifts in bilateral relations or court rulings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,688,795 Vol.
30 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
7%
$2,688,795 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$293,346 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas that unsealed superseding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, pleaded not guilty and face a June 2027 trial date set after pretrial hearings in July 2026, with no bail requests filed. Venezuelan authorities under acting president Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his release through diplomatic channels and UN statements, while recent August 2026 developments include Maduro issuing statements from detention endorsing opposition negotiations and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on political prisoners and sanctions. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanisms hinge on these legal timelines, diplomatic pressure, and any shifts in bilateral relations or court rulings before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,688,795Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas that unsealed superseding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, pleaded not guilty and face a June 2027 trial date set after pretrial hearings in July 2026, with no bail requests filed. Venezuelan authorities under acting president Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his release through diplomatic channels and UN statements, while recent August 2026 developments include Maduro issuing statements from detention endorsing opposition negotiations and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on political prisoners and sanctions. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanisms hinge on these legal timelines, diplomatic pressure, and any shifts in bilateral relations or court rulings before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,688,795Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas that unsealed superseding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, pleaded not guilty and face a June 2027 trial date set after pretrial hearings in July 2026, with no bail requests filed. Venezuelan authorities under acting president Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his release through diplomatic channels and UN statements, while recent August 2026 developments include Maduro issuing statements from detention endorsing opposition negotiations and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on political prisoners and sanctions. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanisms hinge on these legal timelines, diplomatic pressure, and any shifts in bilateral relations or court rulings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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