Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed March 31?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?
5,500-6,000 50%
6,500-7,000 45%
6,000-6,500 40%
7,000-7,500 16%
$1,231 Vol.
$1,231 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<5,000
10%
5,000-5,500
5%
5,500-6,000
50%
6,000-6,500
25%
6,500-7,000
45%
7,000-7,500
16%
7,500-8,000
10%
>8,000
8%
5,500-6,000 50%
6,500-7,000 45%
6,000-6,500 40%
7,000-7,500 16%
$1,231 Vol.
$1,231 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<5,000
$542 Vol.
10%
5,000-5,500
$369 Vol.
5%
5,500-6,000
$100 Vol.
50%
6,000-6,500
$100 Vol.
25%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
45%
7,000-7,500
$0 Vol.
16%
7,500-8,000
$38 Vol.
10%
>8,000
$82 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volumen
$1,231Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,231Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes