Trader consensus leans toward 30-35 million day-one views at 30% implied probability for MrBeast's next video, reflecting his track record of massive launches amid YouTube algorithm boosts and 380-million-subscriber base. Recent hits like "I Built Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory" pulled 47 million in 24 hours, while "$1 vs $500,000 Vacation" landed 32 million, anchoring mid-30s expectations. Key differentiators include the teased scale of the upcoming challenge—potentially rivaling record-breakers for 40M+ bins—or softer hype risking 20-25 million if thumbnail and title underperform. Cross-platform buzz on TikTok and X amplifies viral potential, though seasonal ad competition and viewer fatigue introduce uncertainty ahead of the unannounced drop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
30–35M 32%
25–30M 17%
35–40M 17%
20–25M 13%
<20M
3%
20–25M
13%
25–30M
17%
30–35M
32%
35–40M
17%
40–45M
10%
45–50M
8%
50M+
8%
30–35M 32%
25–30M 17%
35–40M 17%
20–25M 13%
<20M
3%
20–25M
13%
25–30M
17%
30–35M
32%
35–40M
17%
40–45M
10%
45–50M
8%
50M+
8%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus leans toward 30-35 million day-one views at 30% implied probability for MrBeast's next video, reflecting his track record of massive launches amid YouTube algorithm boosts and 380-million-subscriber base. Recent hits like "I Built Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory" pulled 47 million in 24 hours, while "$1 vs $500,000 Vacation" landed 32 million, anchoring mid-30s expectations. Key differentiators include the teased scale of the upcoming challenge—potentially rivaling record-breakers for 40M+ bins—or softer hype risking 20-25 million if thumbnail and title underperform. Cross-platform buzz on TikTok and X amplifies viral potential, though seasonal ad competition and viewer fatigue introduce uncertainty ahead of the unannounced drop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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