Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-70 million week-one views (28.5% implied probability) for MrBeast's next main-channel upload, driven by his recent video "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," which amassed 62 million views in its first week amid stabilizing YouTube algorithm trends and heightened competition from short-form creators. Historical precedents show his high-stakes challenges averaging 70-100 million in week one, but softer promo cycles and viewer fatigue have capped recent hits below 90 million, differentiating lower buckets from upside bets on a teased mega-giveaway. Key upcoming catalysts include upload timing around holidays and cross-platform hype via TikTok and X, though unannounced content keeps the field wide open with under 20% on 90 million-plus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M 29%
90M+ 18%
80-90M 18%
70-80M 15%
<40M
2%
40-50M
6%
50-60M
13%
60-70M
29%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
18%
90M+
18%
60-70M 29%
90M+ 18%
80-90M 18%
70-80M 15%
<40M
2%
40-50M
6%
50-60M
13%
60-70M
29%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
18%
90M+
18%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-70 million week-one views (28.5% implied probability) for MrBeast's next main-channel upload, driven by his recent video "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," which amassed 62 million views in its first week amid stabilizing YouTube algorithm trends and heightened competition from short-form creators. Historical precedents show his high-stakes challenges averaging 70-100 million in week one, but softer promo cycles and viewer fatigue have capped recent hits below 90 million, differentiating lower buckets from upside bets on a teased mega-giveaway. Key upcoming catalysts include upload timing around holidays and cross-platform hype via TikTok and X, though unannounced content keeps the field wide open with under 20% on 90 million-plus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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