Strong opening-day performance of roughly $2.5 million across 2,568 theaters, combined with solid star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, has driven the market-implied probability of a $6 million-plus opening weekend to 98%. Angel Studios’ audience-focused distribution model, favorable early word-of-mouth reports, and a 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced trader confidence that the action-comedy will comfortably clear the threshold in a post-summer frame. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget genre releases from the studio further support the consensus. An upset below $6 million would require a sharper-than-expected drop-off from Friday or stronger competition from holdovers and new entries than current tracking indicates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Runner" Apertura Fin de Semana Taquilla
"Runner" Apertura Fin de Semana Taquilla
6M+ 98.4%
3-4 millones 7.0%
5-6 millones 3.6%
<3m 3.2%
$12,126 Vol.
$12,126 Vol.
13 sep 2026
<3m
3%
3-4 millones
7%
4-5 millones
1%
5-6 millones
4%
6M+
98%
6M+ 98.4%
3-4 millones 7.0%
5-6 millones 3.6%
<3m 3.2%
$12,126 Vol.
$12,126 Vol.
13 sep 2026
<3m
$2,566 Vol.
3%
3-4 millones
$2,133 Vol.
7%
4-5 millones
$657 Vol.
1%
5-6 millones
$2,894 Vol.
4%
6M+
$3,876 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening-day performance of roughly $2.5 million across 2,568 theaters, combined with solid star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, has driven the market-implied probability of a $6 million-plus opening weekend to 98%. Angel Studios’ audience-focused distribution model, favorable early word-of-mouth reports, and a 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced trader confidence that the action-comedy will comfortably clear the threshold in a post-summer frame. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget genre releases from the studio further support the consensus. An upset below $6 million would require a sharper-than-expected drop-off from Friday or stronger competition from holdovers and new entries than current tracking indicates.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$12,126Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening-day performance of roughly $2.5 million across 2,568 theaters, combined with solid star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, has driven the market-implied probability of a $6 million-plus opening weekend to 98%. Angel Studios’ audience-focused distribution model, favorable early word-of-mouth reports, and a 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced trader confidence that the action-comedy will comfortably clear the threshold in a post-summer frame. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget genre releases from the studio further support the consensus. An upset below $6 million would require a sharper-than-expected drop-off from Friday or stronger competition from holdovers and new entries than current tracking indicates.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$12,126Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening-day performance of roughly $2.5 million across 2,568 theaters, combined with solid star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, has driven the market-implied probability of a $6 million-plus opening weekend to 98%. Angel Studios’ audience-focused distribution model, favorable early word-of-mouth reports, and a 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced trader confidence that the action-comedy will comfortably clear the threshold in a post-summer frame. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget genre releases from the studio further support the consensus. An upset below $6 million would require a sharper-than-expected drop-off from Friday or stronger competition from holdovers and new entries than current tracking indicates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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