Polymarket traders have priced a 99.9% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflecting the index's confirmed open at 6,754.36—up sharply from the April 7 close of 6,616.85. This strong consensus stems from an overnight futures rally exceeding 2.5%, fueled by geopolitical relief over U.S.-Iran ceasefire prospects, which tumbled West Texas Intermediate crude over $20 to $92.79 and eased supply chain fears via potential Strait of Hormuz reopening. After a 4.6% Q1 decline amid heightened volatility, the relief rally validated pre-open positioning. With the price verified across major exchanges, only a rare data discrepancy could challenge resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoS&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,303 Vol.
$51,303 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
1%
6600–6700
1%
6700–6800
100%
6800–6900
1%
6900–7000
<1%
7000+
<1%
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,303 Vol.
$51,303 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
$14,121 Vol.
1%
6600–6700
$16,851 Vol.
1%
6700–6800
$8,749 Vol.
100%
6800–6900
$6,258 Vol.
1%
6900–7000
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
7000+
$4,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders have priced a 99.9% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflecting the index's confirmed open at 6,754.36—up sharply from the April 7 close of 6,616.85. This strong consensus stems from an overnight futures rally exceeding 2.5%, fueled by geopolitical relief over U.S.-Iran ceasefire prospects, which tumbled West Texas Intermediate crude over $20 to $92.79 and eased supply chain fears via potential Strait of Hormuz reopening. After a 4.6% Q1 decline amid heightened volatility, the relief rally validated pre-open positioning. With the price verified across major exchanges, only a rare data discrepancy could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$51,303Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders have priced a 99.9% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflecting the index's confirmed open at 6,754.36—up sharply from the April 7 close of 6,616.85. This strong consensus stems from an overnight futures rally exceeding 2.5%, fueled by geopolitical relief over U.S.-Iran ceasefire prospects, which tumbled West Texas Intermediate crude over $20 to $92.79 and eased supply chain fears via potential Strait of Hormuz reopening. After a 4.6% Q1 decline amid heightened volatility, the relief rally validated pre-open positioning. With the price verified across major exchanges, only a rare data discrepancy could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Volumen
$51,303Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders have priced a 99.9% implied probability on the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflecting the index's confirmed open at 6,754.36—up sharply from the April 7 close of 6,616.85. This strong consensus stems from an overnight futures rally exceeding 2.5%, fueled by geopolitical relief over U.S.-Iran ceasefire prospects, which tumbled West Texas Intermediate crude over $20 to $92.79 and eased supply chain fears via potential Strait of Hormuz reopening. After a 4.6% Q1 decline amid heightened volatility, the relief rally validated pre-open positioning. With the price verified across major exchanges, only a rare data discrepancy could challenge resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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